Do you trust your electric utility to provide you with reliable and affordable energy this winter?

You might, but you shouldn’t.

If you ask Michigan residents what they want from a utility, they will likely tell you two things: reliable service and reasonable rates.

They want their lights and heat (or air conditioner) to turn on when they need them, and they want to afford their monthly utility bill.

But they’re not getting those things.

Michigan’s average residential electric rates are 16% higher than the national average and 13% higher than the average rates paid in adjacent Great Lakes states. And, despite paying such high rates, we still have some of the least reliable electricity in the country. The 2018 Eaton Blackout Tracker noted that Michigan had the fourth-worst record for outages in the nation from 2008 to 2017.

So, “expensive and unreliable” is already the norm for electric service in Michigan.

But, when you compare the long-term plans of Michigan’s utilities to the track record of utilities in other renewable-heavy areas, you quickly realize that things here are likely to get much worse.

That’s because of Consumers Energy’s 2021 Clean Energy Plan, which is currently being reviewed by Michigan’s Public Service Commission. The plan describes how the utility intends to shut down its nuclear and coal-fueled resources by 2025. It will also, by 2040, stop using a significant portion of its natural gas-fueled generation facilities.

In their place, the utility intends to rely on what it calls “renewable fuel sources such as solar and wind (to) comprise more than 60 percent of our electric capacity.”

When those are combined with customer efficiency measures, demand response — programs that will limit your electricity use — and energy storage — pumped hydro or batteries — the utility says, “clean energy resources” will provide 90% of its customers’ needs.

The utility’s marketing efforts paint a rosy picture of the transition to renewables.

But, in California, Texas, and Europe, which have taken similar measures, high prices or restrictions on electricity supplies are an increasingly normal part of life.

Each of those areas is several years ahead of Michigan in the rush to move from reliable, affordable fossil and nuclear systems to weather-dependent and expensive renewables.

The most recent example of a green energy failure is taking place across Europe, as a weeks-long lull in wind speeds — referred to as a “wind drought” — has caused wind generation to drop to almost nothing. For a period of weeks in October, wind turbines there stopped spinning because of low wind conditions.

In response, governments and utilities scrambled for natural gas and coal supplies, causing prices for those commodities to spike.

Many of those nations now face the prospects of a bleak winter in which a mix of low wind speeds, high natural gas prices, low temperatures, and increasing energy demand could prove deadly.

Likewise, media outlets, which often advocate for green energy, wondered aloud if the rush to green energy could be dangerous. One Bloomberg news article reported that the world is now experiencing its “first major energy crisis of the clean-power transition.”

It ominously predicted it “won’t be the last.”

That grim possibility is even pushing some governments to reconsider nuclear power, despite having worked for years to decommission their nuclear fleets. Today, France, Finland, Japan and Korea (among others) are admitting that abandoning nuclear could dangerously shackle their economies to Russian or Chinese energy supplies.

Doing that would be a serious problem. They recognize that Russia has long been willing to use natural gas as a political weapon. For its part, the Chinese government relies heavily on a homespun mix of coal-fired electricity, lax environmental controls, and slave labor to produce cheap solar panels that Western countries falsely believe will mitigate their concerns about the world climate.

The ethical and environmental challenges associated with those various renewable technologies should be enough to encourage utilities like Consumers Energy to pause and rethink their long-term plans.

But, when you add in the increasingly obvious problem of reliability, it’s clearly past time that they halt the rush to decommission energy sources that reliably power our society and help to keep us safe, warm and healthy.

We can and should continue to rely on fossil and nuclear fuels for reliable and affordable electricity.

Jason Hayes is the director of environmental policy for the Mackinac Center for Public Policy.