The gender gap on Iran
Tim Skubick
There’s a reason the Good Lord created men and women. So that years later political pollsters could do research on the gender gap.
You have heard of this phenomenon that has fascinated everyone as the gap reflects just how different the sexes are especially when it comes to politics which brings us to today’s offering.
Nowhere is this gap more real than with the current war/conflict/regional fighting, pick your description, in Iran.
It is true that both genders oppose U.S. military action but even so, the difference is 11 points. For males it’s a 52% non support vs. 37% support. 63% of the women oppose it while only 30% support the effort.
The numbers are a little different regarding the “boots on the ground” strategy. 70% of men oppose while 78% of women feel the same way. And they also agree that Congress should have a voice in reviewing the president’s war decisions. But there is still an 18 point gap with men at 50% and women at 68%.
And finally both sexes have concluded the bad guys will launch some sort of attack on American soil. 76% of men think it is very or somewhat likely. 80% of women have the same attitude.
But despite four areas of concurrence, the rest of the Quinnipiac University national survey reveals a definite night and day attitude among the Lord’s creations.
Take the murder of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Was the president justified in taking him out?
Men 62% yes. Women 36% no. Gender gap: 26 points.
Did the president give a clear reason for the bomb, bomb, bomb… bomb, bomb Iran decision? (Recalling there former U.S. Sen. John McCain’s take off on the Beachboy’s hit tune Barb, Barb, Barb Barb, Barbra Ann.) 43% of the guys believe Mr. Trump did lay it out while only 26% of the women agree. Gender Gap: 17 points.
And finally, are the attacks making the U.S. safer? It’s 42% yes for men vs. 28% of women for a 14 point Gender Gap.
So at this point you might have a “big so what?” reaction. Afterall it’s just a bunch of numbers and since everyone knows the genders have a ton of different view points, why are you belaboring the point here?
Because if the political insiders are right, this could determine which party wins this mid term election year that could determine whom is governor, secretary of state, state attorney general plus control of the state supreme court and the all important control of the Michigan House and Senate.
Now you’re going, how can a war “over there” have any impact on how we vote over here?
Read on.
Veteran pundit and former legislator Bill Ballenger wades in to answer the question. Voter turnout is at the nub of his analysis.
First of all 67% of the women feel President Trump is doing a lousy job on the domestic front They merely look at their local gas pump, grocery store shelves and their 401K to conclude his economic policies that he promised would have everyone singing “Happy Days Are Here Again” has not produced any female vocalizing from those who don’t like him.
Mr. Ballenger notes that women more often than not show up at the polls in larger numbers than men and when you toss the Iran gambit into the pot, the men and women who oppose the president “they’re going to take it out on Trump” via his supporters who are running for office while he is not.
And here’s the kicker that keeps those GOP hopefuls up at night.
“Women are going to be engaged to get out and vote and they are already a majority of the electorate. Whereas the men are probably not so inspired,” figures Mr. B.
Do the math.
If the Iran thing motivates even more women to vote than normal, there are not enough GOP men and women who support the president, no matter what, to counteract that tidal wave. And when you add the 60% of the Independent voters, who pretty much decide the winners in an election, who oppose the war effort, you can spell trouble with a capitol T for the GOP candidates.
Of course if the war ends tomorrow, this could be but an ugly memory when November rolls around.
On the other hand, Mr. Ballenger suggests, “they don’t want this to be a protracted war leading up to the election. That in my opinion would be a disaster for Republicans running this year.”
And some might add it might take Divine intervention to prevent it. Or the losers could just blame God for creating the gender gap in the first place.





